Round 16

The flexible jury numbers make F2 feasible.

More like infeasible because what if there was an even number.

Theoretically that item is almost never makes it to FTC.

Yeah I know you probably posted that as a joke because thats really obvious but now you made me point it out.

So the interesting thing about Mipha's latest confessional post, it's that she clearly underestimates Kohga. She wants Urbosa and Epona out. Epona I get, that's a legitimate threat to win, but like, Kohga is a bigger threat than Urbosa and Mipha doesn't even see it.

And suddenly, it's dawning on me just how well Kohga is actually doing socially if he has Mipha convinced that he's not as big a threat as Urbosa.

The whole game sees Urbosa as a bigger Jury threat than Khoga, which to be fair, it's hard to tell while tell in the game. I think if Urbosa loses the final four challenge and she gets taken to the end, her case becomes much stronger.

And some of the Jury is down on Khoga right now, but I think he could convince people. Mipha also shares some potential voters with Urbosa that she doesn't share with Khoga (Oven for example has basically said that he'll vote for Mipha if Urbosa isn't there).

Votes:

Epona
Epona extra
Revali
Khoga
Mipha
Urbosa (but not if idol)
Urbosa's fury (potentially)

And one vote blocker.

Both of Epona's votes are directed at Revali. Honestly I don't know that anyone benefits from Revali going home, maybe Epona because she wins FTC regardless but still a weird choice. And I guess Mipha too because she gets to stay in the game.

Urbosa not having a vote makes it really difficult for her to control what happens though, even with her nullifier.

I honestly think her best move is getting rid of Mipha, but it's hard since Khoga wants to keep Mipha over Revali it seems, and Revali obviously wants to not die.

However, if they all vote into Epona (but she gets Revali to vote Mipha) and she idols Epona and furies Epona and blocks one of Epona's votes then...

Revali- 1 (Epona)
Mipha- 2 (Revali, Fury)

And then she could nullify Khoga's idol play on Mipha, making Khoga look weak and sending home a legit Jury threat.

Idk, it's hard and it requires a lot of info she doesn't have and Revali's cooperation. Otherwise they can all vote Epona and overcome Epona's half-idol, or she can sacrifice Revali, but I think Revali is the worst elimination for Urbosa by a sizable margin.