Round 8

omg URBOSA!!!!!!!!!!!!

SORRY I DIDN'T REALISE WE WERE TALKING ABOUT THIS IN QUOTES TOO BUT...........PERCEPTIVE QUEEN

I really just want Oaki to take advantage of being Immune and fight to make something happen, but I don't think he's going to. I don't know what future he can possibly see with the people who voted him out before and those who staunchly defend them still in game and forming a bigger and bigger majority.

I don't quite understand your post saas - what are you trying to say?

Oaki/Oven/Hunnie/Pat/RWH/Mipha indeed are in the red, that is a sad 5/12 right now in terms of numbers (6/12 if you toss in patricia) --- what are you saying about picking people off? Who is that bad for, the people on top?

Oh no, the people on the top benefit. I think the people on the bottom are playing super passively, and this is the point where you need to be aggressive. Like I'm aware the likely outcome is just getting targeted, and it isn't like the numbers are there for them to do anything, but at the same time...they don't really seem to be even trying to pull something better off. 5 or 6 out of 12 is at the point where with the right amount of work and social ability, you can still turn the tides before it's too late, and it seems like instead they're just happy to target each other. And the people on top haven't exactly been subtle about it, so it's just frustrating.

Ideally you have someone in the majority you're really really emotionally close to and you can pull that person over to your side, but you need to have been putting in the work all game for that to work, and I don't know that these people have been. RWH might have a chance with Epona though, that's probably their best bet. Pull in Epona and Revali.

Exactly correct. Every "solid alliance" had someone die or alienate themselves already (riju from zora 3, horse from the flying horsemen, kass vs. urbosa in the core 4). So the game is just a bunch of individual bonds, and the consequence of that is that people with the least bonds are getting targeted.

Really the people on the bottom should be trying to break things up, but I don't think they really have the information to do so...? All the cool kids might have secret desire to stab each other, but they all have enough restraint that they're saving it for later.

It also doesn't help that the game has had everybody meet each other, which imo encourages the sort of one sided cool kids vs. uncool kids dynamic that you also see in big brother games IRL where the cool kids usually kinda chill while the uncool kids cannibalize themselves until well after jury starts. More freedom to choose allies means the good players will congregate, and the weak players will dislike each other for being loose lipped/crazy/bad socially, and look up to the big boys. Whereas a lower swap survivor game usually has stronger players gunning for each other earlier primarily because they haven't met yet.

That's not a criticism of the game or format, just an observation. It's a different kind of dynamic to navigate.