Urbosa
Hyrule Castle
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Post by Urbosa on May 4, 2020 20:44:58 GMT -5
Let the record show that this will be the round I meet my demise. But actually.
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Urbosa
Hyrule Castle
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Post by Urbosa on May 5, 2020 0:56:57 GMT -5
Potential Scenarios: If I win immunity (doubtful), then I will have a bit more space to maneuver. This may have to be the round I work with Revali and one of Robbie/Link (because those are the only other options — duh, Urbosa) to take a shot at Mipha. The first Champion could be lying straight to my face, but if he is then that only hurts him in the long run. If I am going to go all in on an ally, then I am going to have faith my efforts to link with Revali weren't in vain. Neutralizing Mipha pre-merge helps me in two regards: First, removing her from the game weakens the trio of Mipha/Riju/Patricia. Second, it hopefully rebukes the rallying cry of "Death to Wisdom" that will be taken up by the bigger targets to redirect attention. Personally, I find it maddening to think anyone would really think one round of play equates to definite game-long relations. I acknowledge the irony here — Sidon and Horse likely plan to spearhead a coalition of Sidon/Horse/Robbie + Epona and Hylia knows who else to seize a majority early on. I'll have to see how Tribal Councils turn out before I start to panic there. Oaki's vote definitely took me by surprise, BUT it proved to be an opportunity to get some more information: Also whoa... Oaki got eliminated! Right after I said he was a good player... was I wrong? Did he get idoled? Everything seemed to stop as soon as Mipha mentioned an idol. Why would that be the FIRST and only scenario that could lead to an Oaki elimination? He was clearly charismatic and well connected, a fact underscored by Revali: Oaki threw the challenge, like right before the deadline he sent me the words of his tribe, as well as 3 from Spirits tribe (he also leaked to them), hence why I knew Glacier was one of their words with confidence and was sure the word Khoga had was Wolf, not dog. I wasn't able to reveal that unless you asked since I didn't want to potentially get Oaki in trouble for that, but well, seems he bit the bullet. Either due to that or for some other reason. Sound familiar, Mipha? Almost exactly like you had Riju's full list of passwords? If anyone caught wind of Oaki over-extending himself with allies and throwing the challenge to make a move on someone else, it could have easily backfired. Does . . . does this mean Mipha has an idol?
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Urbosa
Hyrule Castle
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Post by Urbosa on May 5, 2020 2:54:57 GMT -5
I think I put values on my first submission in the wrong spots, which in turn made me second-guess everything after that and try countless more times than I needed to. I. Want. To. Die.
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Urbosa
Hyrule Castle
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Post by Urbosa on May 5, 2020 3:08:01 GMT -5
Literally shaking I'm so disappointed in myself. Great challenge — I was just not thinking straight after getting home from work haha.
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Urbosa
Hyrule Castle
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Post by Urbosa on May 5, 2020 20:56:41 GMT -5
Members of Power Tribe sweeping Individual Immunity? Groundbreaking. Attachments:
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Urbosa
Hyrule Castle
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Post by Urbosa on May 5, 2020 22:23:40 GMT -5
Mipha has brought up idols again, and I can't help but think it's intentional. Is the bread crumbing to see if I'll offer up a power I don't have? Is she hinting SHE is going to play something?
I need to come up with an alternative plan to account for the very real potential of her playing an idol when votes are coming her way. Do I loop in Revali and let him know I may drop a vote on someone else just in case? Do we just shift gears and try targeting Link since Mipha seems to feel closer to him than to Robbie? That at least would knock out a potential merge ally.
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Urbosa
Hyrule Castle
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Post by Urbosa on May 5, 2020 23:01:28 GMT -5
Going to walk through a couple scenarios just to see what options I might have.
01 | I can take what Revali, Link, and Robbie tell me at face value. Four votes are placed on Mipha, and no items are played to affect the vote. Mipha leaves 4-1.
02 | I can take what Revali, Link, and Robbie tell me at face value. Four votes are placed on Mipha, but she plays an idol. Mipha nullifies the votes on her, and I reveal my hand. She casts the deciding vote at Tribal Council, and we enter another round (potentially a merge) as enemies.
03 | I can take what Revali, Link, and Robbie tell me at face value. I vote Robbie with Mipha, and no items are played to affect the vote. Mipha leaves 3-2, but I alienate Revali, Robbie, and Link.
04 | I can take what Revali, Link, and Robbie tell me at face value. I vote Robbie with Mipha, but she plays an idol. Robbie is then ousted 2-0, which alienates Revali but potentially endears me to Link (who has been at odds with Robbie).
CALAMITY PROTOCOLS: In which Urbosa becomes a chaos agent.
05 | I come up with some power — a Stasis Rune that nullifies idols; the Classified Envelope that, if played, alerts the user to the presence of advantages or danger (votes?) in the tribe — something specific enough to Breath of the Wild to be convincing that might throw players off their game. I don't think I've given Mipha a reason to doubt me — I could even tie it into that fake idol hunt back on Wisdom that we helped each other with, and I could even say I'm playing it on her. That could easily backfire, convincing her I have too much ammunition before a merge.
06 | I reach out to Mipha in a panic, telling her that Robbie tipped me off by saying if the both of us wanted to make it through the round, then we need to vote Link. I let Revali know that I think something is up (which isn't false — my Gerudo sense is on fire), and that it might be a good idea for us to either split votes or not place our votes on Mipha. The result is:
A: Three votes Mipha, two votes Link (if Mipha can be convinced Robbie has an idol). If she plays an idol, she stays and Link goes. Revali was aware of the move, so he is less put off than in other scenarios. Link is eliminated, which in turn benefits Robbie.
B: Three votes Mipha, two votes Link (if Mipha can be convinced Robbie has an idol). Mipha DOESN'T play an advantage, goes in a 3-2 vote, and now I've put myself on bad terms with Link — assuming I can't convince him Robbie tried casting votes his way.
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Saas Ko'sah
Sheikah Spectators
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Does Not Bide
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Post by Saas Ko'sah on May 5, 2020 23:01:41 GMT -5
Saas’ Saasy Solicitations
Hello there! It’s been a bit since we last spoke. Did you miss me? You know you did. I’ve been busy shrining it up (and saasing it up of course) and you’ve been busy playing, so it’s time for you to answer my most pressing questions.
1. What is your reaction to Oaki’s elimination? Does it change anything for you?
2. Who are you most worried for on the other tribes this TC? Who would you like to see the other tribes eliminate?
3. What do you want to see happen this TC and why? On a scale of 1-100, how confident are you that the votes will go the way you want them to?
4. Are you thinking about merge at this point? What groups do you see coming together at merge, and what is your plan to navigate them?
5. If you could ritualistically sacrifice one person in the game in order to resurrect one dead player, who would you choose to sacrifice and who would you choose to bring back? Why?
That's all for now! Try not to die before my next solicitations!
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Urbosa
Hyrule Castle
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Post by Urbosa on May 6, 2020 0:59:47 GMT -5
I'm heading out for the evening, but I promise to respond to your questions in the morning, esteemed Saas Ko'sah.
Would just like to say in case this is my stepping off point in the game that I am pleasantly surprised with how well I did (well, with at least how far I got). The more I try to run numbers for merge scenarios, the more I realize how far removed I am from the centers of influence. I also worry I have more enemies than allies — especially if Mipha does go this round. I have very few places to turn.
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Urbosa
Hyrule Castle
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Post by Urbosa on May 6, 2020 1:03:48 GMT -5
Taken before heading into Tribal Council, probably.
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Urbosa
Hyrule Castle
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Post by Urbosa on May 6, 2020 1:16:09 GMT -5
Also are we just gonna never tell them or are we gonna let them know why they're getting voted out? Cause redemple is probably a thing and well, having been the one blindsided it's not exactly fun to be on the receiving end. Okay, so let me tell you what we AREN'T going to do, Revali. This. Not when I came so close to winning individual immunity and can see the light at the end of this Tribal Council. Not when the other players who won immunity took two to ten hours longer than I did to complete the challenge. I'll be damned if I set all this in motion only to have you tip Mipha off with enough time for her to play something and boot me from the game. No sir.
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Urbosa
Hyrule Castle
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Post by Urbosa on May 6, 2020 10:08:53 GMT -5
Potential message to Revali. Debating whether the risk of blowing up my game is worth the potential reward of loading all votes on Mipha just to have her play an idol or advantage.
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Urbosa
Hyrule Castle
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Post by Urbosa on May 6, 2020 18:44:58 GMT -5
This just in: Mipha may not (isn't) getting the boot this round, but I may have just spun Robbie's blunder to unite the rest of Heart Container by giving them a common enemy: the group of Horse/Sidon/Epona/Kass (et al).
I don't think I've seen someone bottom out so dramatically since White Party.
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Urbosa
Hyrule Castle
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Post by Urbosa on May 6, 2020 18:45:08 GMT -5
More to come at 11.
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Daag Chokah
Sheikah Spectators
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I love King Hyrule! King Hyrule is the best! I am sorry King Hyrule!
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Post by Daag Chokah on May 6, 2020 18:46:56 GMT -5
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