Prince Sidon
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Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson of Hyrule
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Post by Prince Sidon on May 12, 2020 18:33:49 GMT -5
i still hate link
oven's calmed down
my guess is that everyone assumes this is some 9-4 vote split between link/horse and what is actually going to happen is a bunch of "clever" people are going to group up in like pairs of 2 or maybe 3 people and try to throw random votes places. im honestly kind of ok if it hits anyone but mipha or patty getting accidentally taken out would make my game so much better.
oaki's gonna throw a vote at hunnie apparently for reasons i cannot possibly understand, but whatever oaki, you do you
i dont know what link's doing but it's not gameplay as far as im concerned.
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Prince Sidon
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Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson of Hyrule
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Joined - November 2019
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Post by Prince Sidon on May 12, 2020 20:25:04 GMT -5
mmm this game has had like three rounds in a row that make me regret playing again
yikes
6 person group forming for this round, me/kohga/urbosa/mipha/kass/patty. and i know kass gave patty the vote block thing, so i am under no illusions of staying strong with that group long term. i think i need to let horse sweat a little after how horridly he misplayed last round. when he's not immune he'll probably be targeted along with oaki. honestly if horse goes i think that leaves epona pretty squarely in my corner and i didnt want horse at the end anyway.
patty is targeting oven bc of course he is and im not rocking the boat right now, oven has calmed down quite a lot but i dont trust him enough to stick my neck out here. ill put the bug in oaki's ear sometime tomorrow and let him spin out of control to try to flip the vote.
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Daag Chokah
Sheikah Spectators
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I love King Hyrule! King Hyrule is the best! I am sorry King Hyrule!
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Post by Daag Chokah on May 12, 2020 20:31:30 GMT -5
what are your takes on those five
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Prince Sidon
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Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson of Hyrule
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Post by Prince Sidon on May 12, 2020 22:58:06 GMT -5
uh well i personally feel like mipha patty and kass will all just winstreak to the end or something if theyre left alive much longer and i dont really trust that im not the fourth or fifth or sixth wheel in that group? kass literally gave patty an advantage to play last round then was like "tee hee it's ok im still with u guys overall".
now oaki and horse are cooking up some fucking harebrained scheme to take out revali in a blindside?
horse is playing way too hard and being way too visible and epona and i are both seriously concerned it's going to sink our games. WHY is he IMMUNE. WHY IS OAKI IMMUNE.
it sucks because i dont really want anyone in the game right now. i think most people win instead of me unless i can make some solid plays and reads going into the home stretch of merge. right now it just feels like im going with this big group and playing for like 7th or 8th place. so blindsiding someone is appealing. and revali is a big challenge threat.
BUT. AGAIN. THE DUDE ISN'T PART OF THE MIPHA/PATTY GROUP THAT I WANT TO SPLIT UP.
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Prince Sidon
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Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson of Hyrule
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Joined - November 2019
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Post by Prince Sidon on May 13, 2020 0:29:37 GMT -5
so like... i may have taken a tiny suspicion by kohga and turned it into a sea of paranoia.
i know oaki was one of the votes on hunnie last round. and he is playing this wild thing where he's saying, ok, im gonna go to hunnie and try to direct her vote by helping her figure out who the split votes were. and of course oaki lands on it being either me/kohga or kass/revali, bc when doesnt that guy take an opportunity to throw me under the bus.
so kohga and i have been talking, and ive been *hinting* that oaki could be creating chaos to cover for who really voted hunnie (i mean i obviously know he did, but whatever, im sorta using oaki's chaos to my advantage). so i planted the idea that if oaki was covering for a duo... well who would it be? hes throwing me/kohga and kass/revali under the bus, so not us. hunnie was the target, so it's not her. it's not horse, and it's not epona. so... who does that leave?
if i can somehow get people to suspect oaki is with patty/mipha and blindside one of them i will be extremely, extremely happy.
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Prince Sidon
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New Member
Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson of Hyrule
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Joined - November 2019
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Post by Prince Sidon on May 13, 2020 0:32:24 GMT -5
epona: "can we just pop a cap in patty's ass right now?"
if this fucking works.
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Prince Sidon
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Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson of Hyrule
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Joined - November 2019
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Post by Prince Sidon on May 13, 2020 18:12:39 GMT -5
holy shit this has literally devolved into a blindside that leaked on patty/mipha and now people want to 5-4-3 mipha/patty/oven
i have to go i dont know where to put my fucking vote
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Saas Ko'sah
Sheikah Spectators
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Does Not Bide
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Post by Saas Ko'sah on May 13, 2020 21:23:32 GMT -5
Saas’ Saasy Solicitations
Hello there! Well done on not being one of the first two boots of merge! That would have been extremely embarrassing for you.
1. From your point of view, please summarize what went down last round. What did you think was happening at the time, and how does that compare to what actually happened? Did you expect Mipha to go home? Did you expect Patricia to play her idol? How much influence do you think you had over the way the votes ultimately went and on the outcome?
2. Who do you think is on the top of this game, and who do you think is on the bottom? Would you place yourself on the top, on the bottom, or neither, and why? If you are on the top, what are you going to do to maintain your power? If you are on the bottom, what are you going to do to change your position?
3. At this point in time, on a scale of 1-100, how likely do you think you are to win the game? What steps do you need to take to improve those odds? What pitfalls do you need to avoid to prevent those odds from lowering?
4. Rank the other ten players from who you trust the most to who you trust the least. Please include explanations about what makes each player (un)trustworthy.
5. If I allowed you to bet $100 on whether or not you’d make it to a given placement in the game, what’s the lowest placement I’d need to suggest in order for you to accept the bet? For example, if you think you’re going to be eliminated right now, you’d say 11. If you’re convinced that you’re going to win, you’d say 1. If you think the odds are good that you’ll make it to final six but you’re less sure about final five, you might answer 6. How low do I have to go for you to be comfortable? Please explain your answer. Note: I am making no such bets. I am but a humble shrine. Support your local shrines.
That’s all for now! The spectators love you…r pain and suffering, so keep it up! Remember everything you do is pointless because no matter how good you are, you're probably going to fail anyway.
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Prince Sidon
Blights
New Member
Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson of Hyrule
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Joined - November 2019
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Post by Prince Sidon on May 13, 2020 22:47:11 GMT -5
1. ok yes, i knew patty would idol, it's why when the blindside seeds i planted started growing i was trying to act hesitant to get an alternate name thrown out there in the process. mipha was a good name to come up, and that came up because i brought it up with epona and told her i didnt have the right connection to oven/hunnie to make it happen, and she took it and ran with it and got kass to run with the mipha vote. at the last second revali came to me and said what if we split, which was exactly what i wanted. i think this move specifically hurts me in the short term because it rocks whatever faith patty had in me, but then again, i didnt fully trust patty anyway. he's really pissed about it and i cant blame him and i know he was the vote on me, so my goal now is to try to both paint patty as being a spoilsport while also leading patty to the breadcrumbs i have that show it wasnt me that actually made the push happen. i dont know if i can pull off that balancing act.
2. i still think kass is on the top of this game. bottom of the game might be me temporarily? long term it's oven and oaki, though that move may have just given oaki the cover he needs to go deep in the game.
3. oh man, it's pretty low i think. i think if i can get there i can make a compelling case, but getting there is looking less and less likely due to all the items out there and the fact i have blindsided patty twice and have two people i voted out still in the game.
4. epona- she has been honest with me, is part of horse's collateral damage, and i believe she would be willing to play with me moving forward. kohga- probably more well connected than i thought but we've been forced together time after time and come through for each other every time BIG GAP urbosa- ive worked with her solidly but i think she has more connections than just me so that's worrisome. kass- same as above, though i think he might be mad at me for voting patty last round. i think it's salvageable though horse- i think he trusts me, which is something in this game, but he's such a fucking wildcard i dont really know how stable he is moving forward BIG GAP hunnie- i mean she hasn't lied to me so??? revali- he's a huge threat to win but we at least worked together to put the split together last vote i guess BIG GAP oven- he may want me dead but at least he's transparent oaki- the dude is all over the fucking place and is an agent of pure chaos. i like him but i cant actually trust him not to be batshit crazy.
5. i mean, i'd say probably 11 lol. it's entirely possible patty's rage results in votes on me, but i cant bring myself to idol yet. just gotta go ham on this immunity challenge
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Prince Sidon
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New Member
Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson of Hyrule
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Joined - November 2019
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Post by Prince Sidon on May 14, 2020 2:15:39 GMT -5
best i can figure, i think im actually fairly protected?
the chaos of the last two votes really helped me.
i was able to plant seeds about a mipha/patty split. even though i would prefer mipha didnt go home, it's the second best outcome, one i wanted from the start of all this. when i started whispering last night about how it's weird oven/hunnie/revali were being targeted despite no actual challenge beasts being targeted... this was kind of the ideal situation. although i feel like i could've worked with mipha more than i could've worked with patty, but here we are.
im left with a vengeful patty, but... that might not be the worst thing. because now i have patty isolated. the person he's most likely to run to is kass, and i think at least kass will tell me if anything is going down and can steer patty away from me.
right now, i think horse has blown up his own game and is kinda firing wild pot shots and i can work with that. similarly, so has oaki.
if there were "goats" on the tribe in the traditional sense, i think they'd be hunnie and oven. oaki might be a weird goat possibility in that he already got voted out, returned, and even though he's a strong social player he is clearly not being told information because he was left out of the last vote entirely bc nobody trusts him.
kass is, i think playing the best game out of everyone alive, he is in the right places at the right time, is really social, nobody has an appetite to get him out. i think that's the move i have to make with my idol at some point. similarly, urbosa? same thing. she preferred to keep mipha though, i voted WITH her, and patty played an idol like i knew he would, getting mipha out of the game. so i turn out okay with that?
and despite me not trusting oaki, he didnt even vote me! i think he might be legit it not wanting me gone which lets me have some leeway to let him on a leash to do his weird chaos shit and then have me behind the scenes working to rally the people tired of the chaos. it worked last round.
i think, gun to my head, ideal f3 at this point would be me/horse/epona or me/oven/oaki. i dont want them to get there, mind you, but i think those are the people i have the strongest arguments against. that being said, i identified earlier that horse was problematic for me, so i need to keep that in mind.
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Prince Sidon
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Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson of Hyrule
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Post by Prince Sidon on May 14, 2020 2:16:54 GMT -5
if i can somehow get people to suspect oaki is with patty/mipha and blindside one of them i will be extremely, extremely happy. also like hey, i am extremely, extremely happy
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Prince Sidon
Blights
New Member
Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson of Hyrule
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Joined - November 2019
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Post by Prince Sidon on May 14, 2020 13:30:29 GMT -5
live look in at oakis game
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Prince Sidon
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New Member
Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson of Hyrule
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Joined - November 2019
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Post by Prince Sidon on May 14, 2020 13:55:42 GMT -5
i think i need kass and kohga both at f4 with me at this point in case one of them has an idol, which is fucking awful, because i can't take them out at 5 since one of them absolutely has an idol i think?
im kinda stoked that idol is gone too. that means we're down to hopefully only like one or two idols left?
power - missing (dunno who has it, could be gone, can't be revali, so it's probably kohga or kass... i guess patty might but i believe patty went for immunity) courage - tee hee wisdom - mipha played it already
heart - link played it already stamina - patty played it already spirit - kass, hunnie, or horse have it (patty speculated hunnie has it, patty also speculated link had the courage idol so what does she know)
i do have an extra vote so maybe i could brute force something on kass at final 6 if i can get 2 others on board with me.
i dont like any of my options for getting to the end, though epona is looking appealing. hunnie may be appealing too since she has been rather out of the votes, but she's played a very good UTR social game so far. oven is an option too since i think going against a returnee wouldnt be so bad and i can out-argue oven's game... i took him out, brought him back in, talked him down from going after me, and flipped the vote off of him to save him this round. that's a strong start against him, and it's not like im worried about his social game since he's been doing cryptic quirky bs.
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Prince Sidon
Blights
New Member
Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson of Hyrule
Posts - 261
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Joined - November 2019
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Post by Prince Sidon on May 14, 2020 19:29:00 GMT -5
this is a fun "survivor" game
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Daag Chokah
Sheikah Spectators
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I love King Hyrule! King Hyrule is the best! I am sorry King Hyrule!
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Post by Daag Chokah on May 14, 2020 20:14:07 GMT -5
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